Monday, September 28, 2009

Panthers @ Cowboys Monday Night Football Pick

At Pointspreadpros.com we use computer analysis to churn through boxscore, play by play and drive chart data to try and determine which teams are likely to cover the spread.

In this matchup, the stats are telling us that the Cowboys will move the ball very effectively on Carolina, especially on first down. Having success on first down will likely lead to Dallas being able to control the ball and do a lot of things well offensively.

That being said, Dallas has shown to have some problems on the defensive side of the ball, especially in pass coverage.

Carolina has some playmakers like Steve Smith who should see some success tonight, especially since we see Dallas getting up on Carolina early, which will force the Panthers to throw the ball.

This game screams to be a high scoring entertaining affair, with a lot of big plays. So our reccommendation is on the OVER 48 tonight.

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Best of luck!
PointspreadPros.com

Monday, September 14, 2009

Monday Night Football Pick Chargers at Raiders

In my many years of making NFL picks at Pointspreadpros.com, experience has told me, that sometimes the picks that make you feel the most "uncomfortable" are the ones that you actually have the greatest success with.

And the Raiders +10 (current line) is just such a pick. Nobody is giving the Silver and Black any chance against the powerful Chargers. And why would they? The Raiders and their organization have been a laughing stock for the past few years.

So yes, this a very uncomfortable pick to say the least. Betting on the Raiders is the same feeling as you get when coming down from the very top of a giant ferris wheel!... That nauseous feeling in the pit of your stomach.

But our computer systems see some value here. The Raiders don't do a lot well but they can run the ball pretty effectively. And the Chargers last year showed vulnerability there. The Raiders also have one of the best cover corners in the league (Assumwaugh). And this should help them take away San Diego's best receiver.

Couple this fact, with it being the week 1 home opener, on national TV, if the Raiders can't put up a good show for this, then they are cooked for the rest of the season.

So play on the Raiders +10 and say a "Hail Mary"

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Thursday Night NFL Opener (Titans at Steelers)

Using data to make predictions is always a problem in the first few weeks of the NFL season as some teams have made major changes to their personnel. But we will try and forecast as best we can, just go easy until week 4.

Tonight our computer systems feel that the Steelers are a bit over priced at 6. The line is inflated due to the publics perception that the Steelers are home and the Super Bowl champs.

The raw data says this will be a very close hard hitting game, something like 17-13.

So we will suggest a small wager on Tennessee +6.

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