Sundays Recap:
We went (2-1) on our 10* Plays, with an easy 35-0 winner on San Francisco, and a straight up winner on Denver. Our loser came on the Chargers, as they couldn't come back from a 28 point deficit.
Monday Night Analysis
In this game, everyone seems to be on the Vikings, thinking that Brett will get his revenge. And this might be true. But a better reason to like the Vikings in this game, is the matchup between the defensive line of Minnesota with the shaky offensive line of Green Bay.
We all saw what Ogungleye did by himself a few weeks ago, getting 3 sacks and causing havoc on numerous plays. And the Vikings have a better pass rush then the Bears!. On the other side of the ball, the Packers have been vulnerable to the run and now will face the best back in the league in Adrian Petersen.
All this being said, the line has risen from 3.5 to 4.5 in some places, and this number is just too much to lay in what should be a hotly contested game. Sometimes you just need to say "Hey, there is no definitive side here enough to warrant wagering my hard earned money. Remember, there will be many more opportunities next week.
Good money management is the key to being successful wagering on sports, and this is a game where you are better off just watching it.
One of the NEW systems I have written for this year, trys to determine the number of predicted successful plays versus the predicted negative plays and in this matchup the system is saying that there is a higher bias toward negative plays. This same system for Sunday, had told me the Bears/Lions was going to bias greatly to BIG plays, and the over/under was only 39.5. I played the OVER myself and was rewarded by halftime.
The same system, had the bias to GOOD plays in last nights Steelers/Chargers game, and that went over easily as well. This system is new for this year, so I am waiting to see how well it does for the year before I incorporate it into plays for my members.
So if you want a little action on this game, how about going "small" on UNDER 47.
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Best of luck to us!
